Yesterday's no-vote has saved Britain's Scotland-based nuclear deterrent. This is great news for Europe. Because in a multipolar and increasingly chaotic world, the UK's sea-based nuclear deterrence will remain essential for Europe's freedom and security.
Nuclear deterrence remains a source of stability...
|Her Majesty's Naval Base, Clyde (Wikipedia)|
Thank you, Scotland. Due to your no, the Royal Navy saves billions of Pounds. The base for Britain's four nuclear ballistic missile submarines (SSBN) does not have to be relocated. The four Vanguard Class boats are going to remain in Clyde, Scotland. This is good news, because nuclear deterrence will remain necessary throughout the coming decades.
Even after the Cold War, strategic stability in the international order is ultimately guaranteed by the nuclear balance of power. With Russia and China becoming more assertive, sea-based nuclear deterrence will serve as a source of stability. Why? What would finally prevent Vladimir Putin from marching through the Baltic to Poland are not Brussels' words and tiny sanctions. Instead, it is, as it was during the Cold War, the risk of a nuclear escalation, which is likely to deter Putin and will therefore keep Europe safe and free.
...for Europe, too.
For legal, political and financial reasons, there will never be any kind of multinational European sea-based nuclear force. However, European countries still need a nuclear umbrella for their security. If you do not believe that, please consult our Baltic and Polish friends.